Anderson and Clark lead BMW Charity Pro-Am

Golf Betting Lines

05/14/2009 - Greer, SC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chris Anderson and Michael Clark II are tied atop the leaderboard at nine-under par after the first round of the BMW Charity Pro-Am.

The tournament features Nationwide Tour players coupled with amateurs over the first three rounds on three different courses. Thornblade Club is a par-71 layout and will host the final round. The Carolina Country Club and Bright's Creek Golf Club are par-72 courses and finalize the rotation.

Anderson shot a nine-under 63 at the Carolina Club, while Clark managed a nine-under 62 at Thorndale. Both were course records at their respective sites.

Fabian Gomez and Dustin Bray are knotted in third place at minus-eight. Gomez posted an eight-under 63 at Thorndale and Bray's 64 came at the Carolina Club.

Anderson began on the first tee at the Carolina Club and played pretty ordinary golf over the front nine. He tallied birdies at six and nine to make the turn at two-under, but caught fire on the back side.

He rattled off five consecutive birdies from the 11th to find himself atop the leaderboard at minus-seven. Anderson parred the 16th, but closed with back-to- back birdies for his 63.

Anderson finished with a 29 on his back nine and he could use a good week. Despite a tie for third at the Louisiana Open, Anderson has not finished inside the top 35 in any other tournament this year.

"I got off to a shaky start but I tried to take it one shot at a time," said Anderson, who won the 2004 SAS Carolina Classic.

Clark got off to a similar start as his fellow co-leader. He had two birdies in his first four holes, but didn't make another until the par-three ninth. That allowed him to turn at three-under, but a big back nine earned him his share of first.

The former PGA Tour Rookie of the Year birdied 10, 12 and 13 and was close to the lead. Clark polished off his round with birdies at 15, 17 and 18 to match Anderson in first -- at least in terms of par.

"When I finished, the guy in the scoring tent said I shot 62 and I thought 'Wait a minute, I had 63,'" said Clark. "I didn't realize this course was a par-71. I hit it where I was looking and it was nice to make some putts."

Daniel Summerhays, Esteban Toledo, Tom Johnson and Brent Delahoussaye are knotted in fifth place at minus-seven.

Jon Mills, Michael Putnam, David Morland IV, Geoffrey Sisk, Jeff Gove, Brenden Pappas, Scott Dunlap, D.J. Brigman, Jason Caron and Craig Bowden share ninth at six-under par.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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